Maybe I Was Wrong

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deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 12:31:01 (permalink)
Just like RSB you believe what you want to believe while ignoring the facts. In 2003 ,52K antlerless tags in 2G produced a harvest of 20.3K. Just one year later the same number of tags produced a harvest of only 13.1K Those harvest reduced the herd in 2G to just 12 preseason DPSM in 2005 and that explains why hunters have been harvesting less than 2 Buck PSM since 2003.
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bluntman
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 12:35:34 (permalink)
ORIGINAL: deerfly

Just like RSB you believe what you want to believe while ignoring the facts. In 2003 ,52K antlerless tags in 2G produced a harvest of 20.3K. Just one year later the same number of tags produced a harvest of only 13.1K Those harvest reduced the herd in 2G to just 12 preseason DPSM in 2005 and that explains why hunters have been harvesting less than 2 Buck PSM since 2003.

 
 
 
#32
DarDys
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 16:06:30 (permalink)
ORIGINAL: Dr. Trout

that means that more hunters wouldn't increase the harvest



we'll see what happen in 2011 ... with the increased allocations and split seasons in more WMUs .. I can see 2F going up right now... both buck and doe as long as the other factors remain about the same === more doe tags equals more guys hunting them equals more killed...

 
I think you missed my point.  Or you are trying to decive using my quote.  I was talking about private posted property having a affect on the deer population and outlined two specific instances where it was.  You took my quote and attempt to apply it state wide.  That is just dirty pool and you know it.
 
If there were million more hunters in PA, that would not increase the harvest on the two parcels I outlined because the same 20 guys would be the only ones on them, just as now.   Not one single hunter more owuld be on there.
 
 And the deer would still head for there at shot number 1 because of the size of the parcels and the lack of hunters.  These two properties already have split seasons.  Allocations won't matter there because the landowners self imposded rules are one and done. 
 
Now do you understand the impact of posted ground?
 
And the more ground that is posted in such a manner, the less control the PGC has over the herd -- except on public ground.  And even then, if the public ground is in close proximity to these sanctuary type areas, the degree of control is lessend there as well.  It will become like the PGC trying to control the urban deer, except without the swimming pools and swingsets.

The poster formally known as Duncsdad

Everything I say can be fully substantiated by my own opinion.
#33
DarDys
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 16:14:33 (permalink)
"I had 3 last year and used only ONE ....."
 
And if I recall correctly, you killed a deer darn near the last day, so you were in the woods hunting contributing to the number of hunters in the woods all season long.  Its not like you killed one the first hour and sat out the rest of the season.  If that were the case your personal example would hold water. 
 
In addition, from past posts, you state that once you do harvest a deer, you go eslewhere and attempt to harvest another one.  So you aren't getting out of the woods then either.
 
In other words, accroding oyu your postings, if you could have filled more tags than the one, you would have.  It was not a personal choice to do so, but circumstantial.
 
Your personal example is nothing but a deliberate attempt to deceive -- again.

The poster formally known as Duncsdad

Everything I say can be fully substantiated by my own opinion.
#34
Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 19:08:26 (permalink)
I was simple showing deerfly that tags allocated does NOT mean ""the number of antlerless hunters"" as he implied... so it was not me trying to deceive as you call it....

there was not even a million regular licenses sold and you need one of those to get an antlerless tag ....so IF NOTHING else == there could not have been over a million antlerless hunters as he claimed...

do you understand now ?????

my point is many guys have more than one tag ... and many do not fill them all by chance or choice ... and others fill every one they have...

My year was not , as you said, based on choice... I had three tags and wanted to fill two of them... just like I have done for almost 13 years now when ever I can get 2 or 3 tags...so yes it was not my choice... and as for going to another area I HAVE TO ... I have one tag for 2F and the others for DMAP areas... so I try to get TWO... one in each area... but as we have gone over a hundred times.. I know there will be time the plans do not work out...

but I am still only one hunter === not three just because I have three tags as deerfly was counting me ...

when I mentioned folks get tags and have no intention of filling them I was not referring to antlerless hunters... guys that actually WANT to kill a doe... .. I was referring to those that buy tags so some one else does not get to fill one... or they claim to buy them to burn trying to prove a point by saving a deer....

Hopefully that makes it easier for you to understand what I posted....
#35
deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 19:23:23 (permalink)
The PGC does not report how many hunters report multiple kills each year. Therefore ,the view every legal tag as an individual hunter. Therefore, if you have 3 doe tags and chose to harvest only one doe, the other 2 tags are recorded as hunters who did not harvest a doe. That is how the PGC determines the number of tags needed to harvest a doe.
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Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 19:30:56 (permalink)
I have NEVER read anything that the PGC states the number of hunters needed to harvest a doe or even a buck as a matter of fact..


you have to give a link to that "number of hunters needed" info...


All I ever see is number of licenses needed to harvest a deer....... or licenses per square mile
never number of hunters ... or hunter success rates...

They would have to be pretty stupid to say they need a million hunters to kill X number of deer when they know they only sold 800K licenses


post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/04/17 19:33:42
#37
deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 19:54:18 (permalink)
I truly feel sorry for you if you really believe you have not seen the data on the number of tags needed to harvest a doe or that you can't figure out for yourself the number of buck hunters that harvest a buck. The DMP stated we had over 700K buck hunters in 2008 and those hunters harvested 122K buck so the ratio was approx. 1:7. The same year the PGC issued 821K doe tags and hunters harvested 213K antlerless deer so the success ratio was approx. 1 doe/4 tags.
#38
Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 22:02:45 (permalink)
I truly feel sorry for you if you really believe you have not seen the data on the number of tags needed to harvest a doe or that you can't figure out for yourself the number of buck hunters that harvest a buck


playing your silly games again... you mentioned the number of hunter.. NOT ME.... Sure I have seen how many TAGS it takes.. I even posted that... you're the one saying there ARE PGC FIGURES SHOWING HOW MANY HUNTERS IT TAKES TO HARVEST A DOE...


For example, in 2002 1.006M antlerless hunters harvested 352K antlerless , while in 2004, 1.017M hunters only killed 285K antlerless.


you posted hunters not tags until I call you on it.. now you're playing your games rather than admit you posted the wrong thing...

The same year the PGC issued 821K doe tags and hunters harvested 213K antlerless deer so the success ratio was approx. 1 doe/4


That states 1` doe for every 4 tags....it does NOT say one doe for every 4 hunters......


ghezz...

I'm done on this surely most reading this can see the differecne that you can't ... there's tags.. and there's hunters === two different things...
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/04/17 22:05:38
#39
DarDys
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/17 22:44:22 (permalink)
" ... there's tags.. and there's hunters === two different things..."

Actually its not two differnt things.  Tags alone will not harvest a deer nor will hunters without a tag.  The two are needed inorder to harvest.  The PGC views every tag sold as a hunter who intends to harvest a deer.  It does not matter if a hunter holds one tag or ten.  It is the success ratio per tags sold that are used for allocation purposes when multiple tags can be had per physical hunter.  So the terms tags and hunters can be used interchangebly.
 
As an example (not real numbers).  If the PGC wants to harvest 100,000 antlerless deer and the historical success rate per tag sold is 15%, then they know that the must sell 666,666 tags.  It does not matter if those 666,666 tags are sold to 666.666 hunters or 500,000 hunters or even, theoratically 1 hunter -- the success ratio is based on tags sold, not the number of physical hunters.

The poster formally known as Duncsdad

Everything I say can be fully substantiated by my own opinion.
#40
Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 08:36:57 (permalink)


Thanks Dars ...


the success ratio is based on tags sold, not the number of physical hunters.



hopefully deerfly will understand your explaination better than mine... he's the one that posted it took a million plus ""hunters"" to kill XX number of deer...
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/04/18 08:39:06
#41
DarDys
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 08:49:44 (permalink)
He probably understood it just fine and realized that hunters = tags and tags = hunters.  In other words it took a million plus tags with hunters attached there to.

The poster formally known as Duncsdad

Everything I say can be fully substantiated by my own opinion.
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Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 08:58:03 (permalink)
whatever ??????

If you think it is just fine to say 1 million hunters killed XX number of deer who am I to say that's silly.....
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/04/18 08:59:56
#43
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 09:25:50 (permalink)
I was simple showing deerfly that tags allocated does NOT mean ""the number of antlerless hunters"" as he implied... so it was not me trying to deceive as you call it....


I don't think anyone was trying to deceive anyone else. For the issue being discussed the term tags and hunters are interchangeable and I believe most people understood the point that was being made.
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DarDys
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 09:31:16 (permalink)
ORIGINAL: Dr. Trout

whatever ??????

If you think it is just fine to say 1 million hunters killed XX number of deer who am I to say that's silly.....

 
Someone that now understands that tags = hunters and hunters = tags that did not before.
 
Oh, was that a rhetorical question on your part?

The poster formally known as Duncsdad

Everything I say can be fully substantiated by my own opinion.
#45
Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 13:30:02 (permalink)


Someone that now understands that tags = hunters and hunters = tags that did not before.



That's not me there .....

I'll continue to keep them seperate...

So even though we lost 200K (buck hunters).. we still have a million hunting antlerless deer

things are lookin GOOD !!!
#46
DarDys
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 15:02:37 (permalink)
"I'll continue to keep them seperate..."

Can a hunter legally harvest a deer without a tag?
 
Can a tag physcially harvest a deer without a hunter?
 
Be able to nswer either of those yes and you can keep them separate.
 
If you can't and you still think they are spearate, then God bless you for having lived as long as you have with being that...
 
Never mind.

The poster formally known as Duncsdad

Everything I say can be fully substantiated by my own opinion.
#47
Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 16:58:57 (permalink)
Can a tag physcially harvest a deer without a hunter?


BUT can there be more tags than hunters ?? yes and that's what the truth is =====

There in lies my point...

If I have 1,000 tags and only 100 hunters and 150 deer are killed I just can not see the logic in saying 1,000 hunters killed 150 deer...

If you want to say 1,000 tags are needed to harvest 150 deer, or 100 hunters killed 150 deer... or 1,000 tags were issued but 100 hunters only harvested 150 deer.. FINE..

but I'm not going to accept 1,000 hunters harvested only 150 deer...

but I can see why you anti guys like saying that == it sound like terrible hunting conditions

well enough of this dead horse ... I'm not counting tags as hunters PERIOD... I'll think what I want you think what you want.. no one would expect you and I to agree on anything anyhow...
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deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 17:42:45 (permalink)
In any case, the antlerless allocations are still the major factor controlling the harvest and the high antlerless allocations over the past 10 years are the major factor that caused the 40% decrease in the herd.

But the question still remains as to why the PGC issued 902K tags for 2010 when they only issued 780K tags in 2001 when we still had 1M PS deer?
#49
Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 17:55:39 (permalink)
They need to issue more tags now because more guys are giving up hunting which leaves more deer for the rest of us ==== but we need more tags ....
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deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 18:07:34 (permalink)
How many hunters quit between the time the PGC issued 815K tags for 2010 and when they allocated 902K tags for 2011? I thought license sales increased last year.
#51
Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 18:49:06 (permalink)
We were talking about antlerless hunting and allocations... when I said quiting..

All the guys from Ohio and other states have given up antlerless hunting because they can not get tags in 2F or 2G... I know of 6 right here in my immediate area.. they have not been able to hunt antlerless for quite a while because tags are sold out before they can even apply...

I also know guys who quit hunting antlerless because they want the herd to grow, some still buy tags but do not hunt....

I am sure just like with buck hunters there are less and less actual HUNTERS out looking for antlerless deer in spite of how ever many tags are issued... more and more guys are trying to get multiple tags in multiple WMUs... even residents are not getting the tags for the counties they really want (2F and 2G come to mind)... I now guys who live in 2F and have missed out on tags in the past 2 years... and I guess 2G has some too.......
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deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 18:51:29 (permalink)
Did the PGC have any problem selling the antlerless tags for 2f or 2G? The answer is no, so everything you posted is meaningless!!!
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Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 19:22:00 (permalink)
That's right = they sold them all in no time and it will be the same this year.. believe it or not there are lots of guys out there wanting tags for those 2 WMUs but just can't get them...


I wish they would let every one that wants one for 2F or 2G get one == then cut it off...no bonus for anyone... residents and non-residents can have one each... for a couple seasons and continue the DMAP programs as they are ..
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deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 19:35:08 (permalink)
Without even realizing it , you just admitted that even with the loss of 200K hunters ,there are still more than enough hunters available to buy every antlerless tags in 2F and 2G!!!
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Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/18 22:17:18 (permalink)
I never said there wasn't ... ??
I just never said there was a million of them :)
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/04/18 22:18:01
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DarDys
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/19 07:50:06 (permalink)
Doc,
 
Please don't ever use the word logic.  It is a concept that you have not grasped.  Here is the most simple logic statement ever presented -- If A, then B.
 
Here is that logic statement applied to your misunderstanding of tags = hunters. 
 
If A, a hunter, can not legally harvest a deer without a tag, then B, a tag = a hunter.
 
Further,
 
If A, a tag, cannot harvest a deer without a physicall hunter, then B, a hunter = a tag.
 
Therefore a tag = a hunter.
 
You seem so bent on wanting to lable people as anti-PGC that you let any view of actual logic go out the window.  Logic has no loyalties.  You have no logic.
 
Can hunters have more than one tag?  Yes.  Can those tags harvest a deer without a hunter?  Obviously not.  In the days before bonus tags one tag = one hunter because that was all that were permitted. Actually one tag meant less than one hunter because some did not get a doe tag and were relegated to one and done.  Plus some that had doe tags didn't use them because they harvested a buck and could not leagally use the tag.  Same situation as today.  Tags and hunters, for the purposes of setting allocations are the same thing.  It does not matter if there is a one tag, one hunter situation or one hunter 100 tags.  One does not work without the other.
 
Its only logical.
 
Sorry.

The poster formally known as Duncsdad

Everything I say can be fully substantiated by my own opinion.
#57
deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/19 08:17:05 (permalink)
That's right = they sold them all in no time and it will be the same this year.. believe it or not there are lots of guys out there wanting tags for those 2 WMUs but just can't get them...


Then I guess you will agree that the number of tags is the major factor controlling the harvests.

BTW, they didn,t increase the allocation in 2G because there weren't enough hunters. They increased it to keep the herd at the current goal of 8 DPSM,which will in turn keep the buck harvest under 2 buck PSM.
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Dr. Trout
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/19 10:09:39 (permalink)
BTW, they didn't increase the allocation in 2G because there weren't enough hunters. They increased it to keep the herd at the current goal of 8 DPSM,which will in turn keep the buck harvest under 2 buck PSM.



Yep== plenty of hunters and tags just not enough HARVEST === not enough deer killed by the hunters or the allocated tags.... .....

can't increase the number of hunters with tags in the woods currently , so you need give more hunters their own tags... so you increase the number of tags even more... allowing more hunters into the woods...

and I agree the buck harvest will not decrease, it will increase also ....

If you guys are going to make me to choose a #1 influence..

I'm picking weather then .....
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/04/19 14:45:40
#59
deerfly
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RE: Maybe I Was Wrong 2011/04/19 11:06:04 (permalink)
can't increase the number of hunters with tags in the woods currently , so you to need give more hunters their own tags... so you increase the number of tags even more... allowing more hunters into the woods...


That makes absolutely no sense. They never had a problem with not enough hunters in 2F and 2G. When they issued 52K tags in 2G they had no problem selling them just like they had no problem selling them when they allocated 26K
I'm picking weather then .....



The PGC went to the concurrent season to specifically eliminate the effects of the weather on the harvest. They could have perfect weather conditions in 2G, but if the PGC only allocated 10K tags, there is no way hunters could harvest 20K antlerless like they did in 2003. Therefore ,weather can not possibly be the controlling factor.
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