I disagree Peacy.
I might not of been chasing steel as long as you, only 18-20 years, but the fish come every year about the same time.
If the water is up, they cruise right along.
If low, they stack up at the bottom end.
They're sitting ducks right now, and getting picked off pretty easy by the hordes.
Less fish will get up stream if it doesn't rain soon, cause many, if not most will be leaving on stringers before they get a chance to spread out and hide
and that ain't no dream-on....
..L.T.A.