As for this debate stuff... I live among the suburban Independent voter block that has decided just about every presidential election in the past 50 years. I have spent the last 15 years away on weekends with soccer Moms and baseball Dads or whatever sport. Weekends that I am not away with many, I am hanging out with others in my neighborhood. No doubt there are some ruby red Republican and solid blue Democrats in my neighborhood. But most do not fall in line with either side. Many of my neighbors are police, who lean Republican since the assault on police by the looney far left. Many of my other neighbors (many married to said police) are teachers, who lean Democrat from the decades long assault on the public education system by all Republicans, not just the lunatic far fight. I also have a bunch of Nepalese and other immigrant neighbors. I am not sure what their political affiliations are, but know the MAGA neighbors can't stand them...
Most look into these allegations, policies and don't just fall for the brain dead one liner party line BS. To think this Tampon Tim (although I do like the name) thing is going to sway any of them to Trump is beyond laughable. Especially any women or any with daughters. Sure, the ones with daughters in sports, don't want them competing against boys. But beyond that, most know someone that is in that LGB whatever the other letter category and are not transphobia types. I.e. they don't care one bit if someone wants to be trans. Same with the Walz military "coward" BS. Trump's side, with a draft dodger at the top of the ticket, accusing Walz of avoiding combat... Especially when there is a timeline of him running for Congress and then retiring, fall before his unit is ANNOUNCED for deployment (not deployed, but announced). Maybe he had insider info and decided that he would run for Congress to get out of it, after going 4 years longer than his eligible retirement date? Even if the case, I'm betting most Independent voters are probably going to look at who is accusing him (draft dodger) and laugh harder than the Tampon Tim BS.
I just don't see their current path ending in anything beyond a major landslide loss of the Independent vote, that has been needed for every presidential election cycle since I have been alive.