Can understand the weather related indicators of when the fish may or may not run however have seen over the years they often mean little to the fish. The past couple years runs of early fish in good numbers with very low warm waters are a prime example.
Flood theories may well be negated by the report 2Bob refers to with the hatchling count being OK following the floods.
The lake being colder this year with different wind patterns may well have spread the fish and even slowed maturity resulting in low early returns this season - however have read reports of the Canadian rivers doing OK this season.
If they were so spread and the colder waters are pushing back egg maturity in hens causing them to run later why is Canada doing OK and not this side of the lake ???
Simply saying that this seems to be an old fashioned year with the fish likely showing in late Sept to early Oct is OK - just kinda hope that all there is to it and it ends up happening that way..
IMHO- even in slow years of old always seemed to be more 'scouts' by now.
I know- I know- pre run jitters- but am kinda getting a weird feeling bout this- certainly fueled by so many negative rumors.