PFSC Testimony
Dr. Trout
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 19:15:50
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well.... when I posted that I forgot it was Friday and after 8pm by the time I got home, so no one was in the offices.. I'll have to wait til Monday..... course nothing I find out is going to change/satisfy your mind anyhow... especially since I already posted what I was told and quotes from an E-mail about the affiliation with the NWF..
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/02/05 19:18:08
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RSB
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 20:01:06
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ORIGINAL: deerfly No-one should be agreeable to less than manageable numbers where habitat will allow But, that is exactly what the PFSG and QDMA are supporting. Our herd is not being managed based on the carrying capacity of the habitat, it is being managed based on the regeneration of commercially valuable timber. In 2G, even with just 14 DPSM ,forest regeneration is still rated as poor, just as it was when the habitat supported twice as many deer in 2000. Forest regeneration is not a measure of the carrying capacity and even the PGC acknowledges that. Your comments here simply are not true. All of the professional resource managers are attempting to manage deer at the TRUE carrying capacity of the habitat with the exception of the habitats made up of cultivated farmlands, housing developments and other metropolitan environments. Even though there is both a concern and need for commercially valuable timber there is nothing in that concern that means they aren’t ALSO trying to manage to have the correct balance of deer on that same habitat. In fact, having the correct balance of deer on land being managed with timber in mind is very much desired as a benefit to the timber resource because the correct balance of deer actually keeps the fast growing pioneer tree species (which love to deer eat) from out competing and eliminating some of the commercially valuable trees. You are correct though that forest regeneration in unit 2G is still rated as poor, but then why would that be a surprise to anyone. The 2G habitat is improving but it still has a long ways to go before it is going to be anything but poor and before it will support many more deer that it already is. The only reason 2G was supporting all those deer you keep clamoring about back in 2000 was because we had experienced a series of mild winter years combined with good environmental conditions that allowed for a number of years with higher than normal fawn recruitment rates. We only got away with that because of those mild winters but everyone knew that couldn’t last forever and it didn’t so nature brought the deer populations back down to where they did match the REAL carrying of the habitat. You are also partly correct that forest habitat isn’t the entire measure of the deer carrying capacity. In fact you can have a pretty healthy forest that supports very few deer if that forest doesn’t have all of the right habitat for higher deer numbers. In much of unit 2G and the rest of the northern tier the real limiting factor is in the lack of good wintering grounds habitat. I can show you places with so much good browse a hundred deer couldn’t eat any way near all of it during the winter. But, when we get hard winters with deep snow there will be dead deer that starved to death in the wintering grounds just a short distance from all that food. It wasn’t that the deer didn’t know all that food was there either since most of them spent the summer feeding in that good habitat. The problem is that once the snows get so deep the deer have to pull down into the wintering grounds and all that good food might as well be on the moon because the deer can’t get to it. It simply isn’t enough to have good habitat in some of these areas. You also have to have that good habitat in the right places where it is available to the deer when they need it the most. And, if you don’t have the good habitat in the right places you still can’t sustain higher deer populations, nature will not allow it even if you, the Game Commission or anyone else want more deer, nature will not allow it to happen on a long term sustainable bases. That is what so many of you simply refuse to understand or acknowledge, probably because you don’t want to accept the reality of it. Well, it doesn’t matter ir people accept reality or not because nature always works in reality. People refusing to accept nature will never change it. R.S. Bodenhorn
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wayne c
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 20:21:33
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well.... when I posted that I forgot it was Friday and after 8pm by the time I got home, so no one was in the offices.. I'll have to wait til Monday..... course nothing I find out is going to change/satisfy your mind anyhow... Why does it have to satisfy my mind anyway? You were the one who is the member, and also the one who said you were worried about it now. I was just curious myself. Its not gonna change my opinion of the outfit one way or the other. I know exactly who Penn Fed is and what they stand for regardless of what other groups they are officially affiliated with.
post edited by wayne c - 2011/02/05 20:50:44
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Dr. Trout
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 20:56:39
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I checked out the link and it does not bother me as much... it's simply a program for youth to be educated in nature and the outdoors..the PFSC is not mentioned anywhere... where a person goes from there is entirely up to them...they can even search NWF and get to their site... but we'll see what the E-mails say on Monday.. no where does it say we are affilated with them... In fact we aren't and you or no one else can supply something since 2008 that states we are... but I guess because that link is there to you that means that we are affilated/supportive.. ?? just like I will not allow links to your eveland stuff, ACSL, USP, etc on my site.. I do not want to be affilated/support them that was a JOKE !!!! later.......
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/02/05 20:57:37
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wayne c
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 21:02:11
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All of the professional resource managers are attempting to manage deer at the TRUE carrying capacity of the habitat Only way that is possible is if they are trying to change the definition of carrying capacity. "Professional resource managers" And oh what credible men of science they are! lol. 2 of which are several years late for a date with the unemployment line. Im sure they could probably get employment pretty quickly by sending resume's to wmi. Especially if they were to list "fired from pgc" on their list of credentials. ...They would indeed fit in well there. Then maybe in another 5 years they can audit our deer plan again as an unbiased third party, since theyd no longer reside in Pa. Sound familiar? lmao.
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wayne c
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 21:15:44
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just like I will not allow links to your eveland stuff, ACSL, USP, etc on my site.. I do not want to be affilated/support them If you were to have a link to usp and it stated "USP IS DOC TROUTS EDUCATIONAL BRANCH" i might just be able to take a wild guess that you two werent exactly strangers? I dont think ive leapt to any wild conclusions here doc, in saying the circumstances are a bit strange. lol.
post edited by wayne c - 2011/02/05 21:19:46
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Dr. Trout
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 21:28:27
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USP IS DOC TROUTS EDUCATIONAL BRANCH that would be true.. because I am only one of those... but this is more like the PWF and PFSC situation... Dr. Trout's Outdoorworld Message Board is the educational branch of Dr. Trout's Outdoorworld web site...... they are basically one in the same.... ME
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Dr. Trout
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 21:34:40
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One last point.. did you even notice the address and phone number is the exact same for both the PFSC and PWF ???? they are one in the same as I posted earlier... and not affiliated with the NWF anymore.. but you go ahead and believe what ever you want to belive as always...
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wayne c
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 23:29:52
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OF course i am going to believe what i want to believe. I want to believe the truth whatever that may be and is what i always strive to do. And all that i said is that it doesnt look good. I didnt ever say Penn Fed WAS still affiliated with NWF. I dont know that. I dont know that they arent either. I just pointed out all the evidence that exists to see if anyone could confirm or deny. I really didnt get much of either. Frankly i personally dont care one way or the other. Trust me, i wont lose a bit of sleep at night either way. If by some chance they really arent, doesnt change the fact they in no way represent hunter views, and their usual testimonies now and ever since the "plan" began only highlights that fact. When you have a group plum chock full of pgc employees, past boc, environmentalists & others having the "voice" of the organiztion a supposed hunting organization.. its not doing the states sportsmen any favors anyway. Fortunately i believe most legislators are aware of it, as are the boc members. At least the few that ever make it that arent hand selected from penn fed. to be boc "yes men"(and women) to keep the plan rolling and in place. Anyway doc, im not gonna further bash your club, if you are happy, im happy for you. 'night.
post edited by wayne c - 2011/02/05 23:30:34
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Dr. Trout
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/05 23:58:31
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And all that i said is that it doesnt look good. I didnt ever say Penn Fed WAS still affiliated with NWF. I dont know that. I dont know that they arent either. I just pointed out all the evidence that exists to see if anyone could confirm or deny. I really didnt get much of either. How's this ====== from 2008 ... An old-line hunting and fishing organization decays into anti-industry zealotry National Wildlife Federation kicks out Pennsylvania affiliate for failure to believe that people are the sole cause of global warming Don’t let the door hit you by John C. Street There aren’t many things that can get me giddy with excitement anymore but as I prepare this weekly missive, I’m giddy with excitement. In a letter dated September 5, 2008, the National Wildlife Federation (NWF) notified the Pennsylvania Federation of Sportsmen’s Clubs (PFSC) that they intended to “terminate†their “affiliate relationship … “ While this scribe’s initial reaction to this unexpected – but long hoped for - news was euphoria (immediately followed by an urge to send the NWF’s executive director a letter advising, “Don’t let the door hit you in the butt on the way outâ€), he would also confess, upon reflection, to experiencing sorrow as well. There was a time, and not all that long ago, when the NWF was a good and trusted friend of every man, woman and child who owned a hunting firearm, ran a trap line or cast a lure into the Commonwealth’s waters. But that has changed. Drastically. And irreparably. Back in the mid 1990s, the NWF migrated into the high grass real estate surrounding Washington, DC, and their concern for sportsmen and sportsmen’s issues began to wane. Money, big money and lots of it became their primary objective. The paltry sums provided by the membership fees of state affiliates (made up of thousands of individuals who belonged to hundreds of individual clubs) could no longer keep the bill collectors from their door. In order to survive in the high-calorie intake world of elite not-for profits, the NWF had to learn to feed at the trough of the makers of the “Golden Rule.†Unfortunately, the big foundations that were making the rules – and dispensing the gold – had agendas that didn’t jibe with the historical role of the NWF; trusted friend of the nation’s hunters trappers and anglers. That many of these well endowed foundations were closely aligned with the New World Order agenda of the United Nations (an agenda that includes the “Wildlands Project,†strict population control, removal of 2nd Amendment rights and, of course, a scheme to redistribute the world’s wealth through the scam of “global warmingâ€) seemed to trouble the management of the NWF not a whit. Worse, as many of their “affiliate organizations†soon discovered, the NWF wasn’t above parlaying their historical relationship with sportsmen to keep the gold flowing. For these shekels of betrayal (that add up to a $100,000,000 annual budget), the NWF covertly attempted to indenture their affiliates – America’s hunters, trappers and anglers - to an agenda that none would have accepted had they understood the apocalypse being perpetrated with their unwitting acceptance. The NWF’s true objective became glaringly – albeit unintentionally? – apparent in their September 5, 2008, letter of disaffiliation with the PFSC. “As the Chair of our credentials committee wrote in a letter dated May 28, 2008,†Tom Gonzales revealed, “the NWF needs the help of all our affiliates to meet the 21st century challenges of global warming, habitat loss and a growing disconnect between children and the natural world.†Perhaps Tom, who is the Chairman of the NWF Board of Directors, didn’t realize how squarely he had just stepped on a very sensitive body part when he signed that letter. Had the NWF done a little homework – or still been a trusted friend of Pennsylvania’s sportsmen – they would have known that the only “21st century challenge†not on the day-to-day agenda of the PFSC was “global warming.†Because its membership was divided on the legitimacy of this United Nations sponsored tripe, the PFSC had simply – and correctly – voted not to take a position. As to the “challenges†of “habitat loss†and “a growing disconnect between children and the natural world,†it’s hard to imagine, given the PFSC’s sponsorship and active participation in an exhaustive list of programs and initiatives (which will be detailed in next week’s column), what more the NWF could want in an affiliate. While the NWF rakes in millions and millions of foundation dollars annually to deal with “habitat loss†and “a growing disconnect between children and the natural world,†Pennsylvania has seen nary a dime for either of these “challenges†… but has seen oodles of dimes spent trying to shove the apocalyptic ideology of global warming through the clenched teeth of Pennsylvania’s sportsmen. Arguably, then, the only “21st century challenge†the NWF really cares about is having their affiliates’ unquestioning allegiance to the only “challenge†that makes them money; “global warming.†Theories abound as to why the NWF finally threw in the towel. Some speculate, and there is ample evidence supporting them, that the departure of large county affiliates (like Luzerne County which has 800 members) over the global warming debacle was leading to a showdown the NWF knew it couldn’t win. Others theorize that the NWF was prescient in seeing the September 2008 election of Bernie Spozio (a long-time, vocal opponent of the anthropogenic position of the NWF) to the office of President of the PFSC. And some have opined that a certain outdoor writer had finally gotten the message across; global warming is a scam and the organizations, specifically the NWF, who support this scam are no friends of hunters, trappers and anglers. And, just in the event this later theory is correct, perhaps that same outdoor writer could be forgiven for closing with … “Don’t let the door hit you in the butt on your way out Mr. Schweiger.†-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John C. Street is a columnist for the Clarion County, Pennsylvania Clarion News.
post edited by Dr. Trout - 2011/02/06 00:14:04
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 08:05:08
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All of the professional resource managers are attempting to manage deer at the TRUE carrying capacity of the habitat with the exception of the habitats made up of cultivated farmlands, housing developments and other metropolitan environments. The TRUE carrying capacity of the habitat, is a meaningless term because it is based on the personal opinions and preferences of the person defining the meaning of the term,rather than on the documented ability of forested habitat to sustain 40 DPSM at the MSY carrying capacity. The only reason 2G was supporting all those deer you keep clamoring about back in 2000 was because we had experienced a series of mild winter years combined with good environmental conditions that allowed for a number of years with higher than normal fawn recruitment rates. We only got away with that because of those mild winters but everyone knew that couldn’t last forever and it didn’t so nature brought the deer populations back down to where they did match the REAL carrying of the habitat. That isn't even close to being true. Everyone that is dealing with reality knows the high antlerless allocations in 2G reduced the herd from 15 DPSM in 2000 to 8-10 DPSM in 2009. Even if every SM of 2 G was in the pole timber stage it would still support 10 DPSM. But 2G is not all pole timber, there are clearcuts, saw timber, SGL food plots,reclaimed strip mines ,cuts make for the elk and abandoned farmland, which would increase the MSY carrying capacity of 2G to at least 20 DPSM. BTW, it is funny that you switched from the true CC to the real CC, another meaningless term.
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RSB
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 10:45:02
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ORIGINAL: deerfly All of the professional resource managers are attempting to manage deer at the TRUE carrying capacity of the habitat with the exception of the habitats made up of cultivated farmlands, housing developments and other metropolitan environments. The TRUE carrying capacity of the habitat, is a meaningless term because it is based on the personal opinions and preferences of the person defining the meaning of the term,rather than on the documented ability of forested habitat to sustain 40 DPSM at the MSY carrying capacity. The only reason 2G was supporting all those deer you keep clamoring about back in 2000 was because we had experienced a series of mild winter years combined with good environmental conditions that allowed for a number of years with higher than normal fawn recruitment rates. We only got away with that because of those mild winters but everyone knew that couldn’t last forever and it didn’t so nature brought the deer populations back down to where they did match the REAL carrying of the habitat. That isn't even close to being true. Everyone that is dealing with reality knows the high antlerless allocations in 2G reduced the herd from 15 DPSM in 2000 to 8-10 DPSM in 2009. Even if every SM of 2 G was in the pole timber stage it would still support 10 DPSM. But 2G is not all pole timber, there are clearcuts, saw timber, SGL food plots,reclaimed strip mines ,cuts make for the elk and abandoned farmland, which would increase the MSY carrying capacity of 2G to at least 20 DPSM. BTW, it is funny that you switched from the true CC to the real CC, another meaningless term. The deer trying to live on the 2G habitat obviously don’t agree with your opinion about how many of them can live there. That is obvious since hunters have spent a number of years harvesting fewer and few deer without the unit experiencing any significant population increase. It doesn’t matter how many deer you or anyone else wants in a unit, area or the state; there will simply not be more deer than the habitat can sustain except for short-term periods of ideal environmental conditions. That seems to be the factor you and many others can’t seem to grasp. I suspect it is just wishful thinking and needing someone to blame when nature doesn’t work out the way you wish it had. R.S. Bodenhorn
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wayne c
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 11:44:37
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Doc, we all know that was supposedly the case in 2008. But is that the case NOW and if it is, then it doesnt explain the link is on the Penn Fed website in 2011!
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wayne c
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 11:49:07
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"The deer trying to live on the 2G habitat obviously don’t agree with your opinion about how many of them can live there." LoL. Thats funny, all i see them saying is "the allocation wont allow us to live there, they were too high and so were the harvest, not the harvest + predation & natural mort. wont allow our numbers to increase.... and btw, tell that wco fella hes full of beans"... Trust me. Thats what they said. I speak fluent whitetail! lmao.
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 12:36:21
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The deer trying to live on the 2G habitat obviously don’t agree with your opinion about how many of them can live there. That is obvious since hunters have spent a number of years harvesting fewer and few deer without the unit experiencing any significant population increase.  Sorry to see you are having such a hard time dealing with the reality of the situation. It must really be frustrating to work for an agency that is doing it's best to ruin some of the best deer hunting in the country for the benefit of DCNR and the timber industry. While you are entitled to your opinion, you are not entitled to make up the facts and the facts are that harvests that exceeded recruitment are responsible for the decrease in the herd in 2G and statewide. Year antlered harvest antlerless harvest harvest PSM antlerless allocation 2003 10,110 20,370 7.4 52,000 2.55 tags/deer 2004 6,400 13,100 4.7 52,000 3.95 tags/deer 2005 5,000 6,200 2.7 29,000 4.70 tags/deer 2006 7,200 4,600 2.8 19,000 4.10 tags/deer 2007 5,100 6,600 2.8 26,000 3.94 tags/deer 2008 6,800 6,500 3.2 26,000 4.00 tags/deer 2009 5,200 4,000 2.28 26,000 6.50 tags/deer The 2003 harvest reduced the 2003 pre-hunt estimate of 103K to 83K in 2004. Then the 2004 harvest reduced the per-hunt estimate even more to just 64 K in 2005 and by 2009 it was reduced to 59K. Anyone that doesn't believe the harvest of over 33K antlerless in just 2 years was not responsible for the decreased harvests in subsequent doesn't have even a basic understanding of the purpose and effects of the antlerless harvests and obviously can't handle the truth.
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RSB
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 17:39:08
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ORIGINAL: deerfly The deer trying to live on the 2G habitat obviously don’t agree with your opinion about how many of them can live there. That is obvious since hunters have spent a number of years harvesting fewer and few deer without the unit experiencing any significant population increase. Sorry to see you are having such a hard time dealing with the reality of the situation. It must really be frustrating to work for an agency that is doing it's best to ruin some of the best deer hunting in the country for the benefit of DCNR and the timber industry. While you are entitled to your opinion, you are not entitled to make up the facts and the facts are that harvests that exceeded recruitment are responsible for the decrease in the herd in 2G and statewide. Year antlered harvest antlerless harvest harvest PSM antlerless allocation 2003 10,110 20,370 7.4 52,000 2.55 tags/deer 2004 6,400 13,100 4.7 52,000 3.95 tags/deer 2005 5,000 6,200 2.7 29,000 4.70 tags/deer 2006 7,200 4,600 2.8 19,000 4.10 tags/deer 2007 5,100 6,600 2.8 26,000 3.94 tags/deer 2008 6,800 6,500 3.2 26,000 4.00 tags/deer 2009 5,200 4,000 2.28 26,000 6.50 tags/deer The 2003 harvest reduced the 2003 pre-hunt estimate of 103K to 83K in 2004. Then the 2004 harvest reduced the per-hunt estimate even more to just 64 K in 2005 and by 2009 it was reduced to 59K. Anyone that doesn't believe the harvest of over 33K antlerless in just 2 years was not responsible for the decreased harvests in subsequent doesn't have even a basic understanding of the purpose and effects of the antlerless harvests and obviously can't handle the truth. Once again you state something that is obvious in the fact that populations decline when harvests exceed fawn recruitment. But, you totally failed in everything else you posted when you try to tell us that the present decline in the 2G deer population is all hunters harvesting to many deer. I am going to use the very data you posted for WMU 2g over the past seven years and show everyone how that compares to another seven year period of 1985–1991 using the data from Elk, Cameron and Clinton Counties since they make a large part of unit 2G. Unit 2G is actually made up of 4114.04 square miles of parts of ten counties but the 2117 square miles of Elk, Cameron and Clinton Counties make up the heart of WMU 2G so the data from those three counties makes a good and valid harvest comparison and representation. The allocations are basically irrelevant in the discussion since it is only harvested deer that enter into the equation of having more or fewer over winter deer. So. I am just going to show the annual harvests per square mile over the two time periods. Each group has seven years of data for a both valid and logical comparison. Elk, Cameron & Clinton (1985-1991)……………………..WMU 2G (2003-2009) Year………………..harvest/square mile………Year…………..harvest/square mile 85……………………….3.27…………………..2003……………..4.95 86……………………….3.18…………………..2004……………..2.58 87……………………….3.85…………………..2005……………..1.51 88……………………….5.88…………………..2006……………..1.12 89……………………….5.62…………………..2007……………..1.60 90……………………….5.00…………………..2008……………..2.21 91……………………….3.52…………………..2009……………..1.02 seven year averages…….4.33………………………………………2.14 92……………………….1.96 93……………………….2.31 94……………………….3.16 95……………………….3.66 96……………………….2.38 97……………………….2.34 six year average………....2.63 98……………………….2.03 99……………………….1.86 00……………………….2.65 01……………………….2.67 02……………………….4.18 five year average………. 2.68 As everyone can see the antlerless harvests for the counties that make up the heart of the big woods areas of WMU 2G have never come close to being as high as they had been back in the 1980’s yet both the harvests deer populations were being sustained at those higher levels back then. Then the allocations and harvests were reduced, and not only reduced but significantly reduced, and over time it became obvious that neither the deer populations nor harvests were sustainable at the levels they had once been sustainable back in the 80s when hunters annually harvested more deer. Why shouldn’t that be a clear and convincing message to any hunter wanting to see the REAL facts? The real fact is that reducing the deer harvests didn’t result in having more deer in unit 2G. Instead it resulted in damaged habitat that couldn’t support as many deer and eventually lead to a major population crash. A crash that has resulted in harvests not being sustainable at even half of what they used to be. If you want even more units with greatly reduced deer populations and harvests in the future all you have to do is continue to listen those that demand lower allocations and deer harvests now. R.S. Bodenhorn
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 17:53:52
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I am going to use the very data you posted for WMU 2g over the past seven years and show everyone how that compares to another seven year period of 1985–1991 using the data from Elk, Cameron and Clinton Counties since they make a large part of unit 2G.  What you did is prove once again you have no idea of the purpose and effects of high antlerless harvests that exceed . It should be obvious to everyone that the high antlerless harvests in 88,89 and 90 reduced the OWDDD just as the high harvests in 2002,2003, and 2004 reduced the OWDD and future harvests , just like in 88,89 90, Thanks for once again providing the data that proves you are wrong.
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RSB
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 18:21:56
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ORIGINAL: deerfly I am going to use the very data you posted for WMU 2g over the past seven years and show everyone how that compares to another seven year period of 1985–1991 using the data from Elk, Cameron and Clinton Counties since they make a large part of unit 2G. What you did is prove once again you have no idea of the purpose and effects of high antlerless harvests that exceed . It should be obvious to everyone that the high antlerless harvests in 88,89 and 90 reduced the OWDDD just as the high harvests in 2002,2003, and 2004 reduced the OWDD and future harvests , just like in 88,89 90, Thanks for once again providing the data that proves you are wrong. I knew you would come back with that incorrect assumption so after the Super Bowl or perhaps tomorrow I will dig up and post the allocations and harvest success rates for the same period that clearly proves it was the reduction in allocations that reduced the doe harvests instead of fewer deer. Eventually though, after years of having reduced harvests and the resulting habitat damage, the deer populations in the heart of unit 2G did start on a natural downward trend. I am confident the results will show that occurring too though I haven’t specifically looked for that. R.S. Bodenhorn
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 18:33:20
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The allocations are basically irrelevant in the discussion since it is only harvested deer that enter into the equation of having more or fewer over winter deer. So. I am just going to show the annual harvests per square mile over the two time periods. Each group has seven years of data for a both valid and logical comparison. Â Allocations were irrelevant a few minutes ago , but now you want to try to use them,because I showed everyone you don't know what you are talking about. It won't work no matter how you try and spin it so don't waste your time.
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bluntman
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 18:41:36
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Hey RSB, these folks only believe what they preach, save your effort and time by remembering the prophetic words of the comic Ron White___________ " you cant fix stupid"
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 19:43:06
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If you don't have anything nice to say about RSB, you shouldn't say anything at all.
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bluntman
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 20:16:19
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I certainly wasnt making that remark about RSB, he appears to be one of the very few here who seem to understand how wildlife management works
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 20:26:52
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Then why did he predict that increased breeding rates and recruitment would offset the effects of HR? Why did he claim the buck harvest would return to normal after the first year of ARs? All of his claims about the lack of enough buck to breed the doe have been proven to be false so just what is it that RSB has been right about?
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wayne c
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/06 23:23:30
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Hey RSB, these folks only believe what they preach, And how exactly does that differ from what rsb does....Does he preach things that he DOESNT believe? lmao. " you cant fix stupid" After the accompanying quote above, that didnt make much sense, id hafta agree. he appears to be one of the very few here who seem to understand how wildlife management works Thats funny, coz Ive never seen another deer management debater from "either side" be proven wrong as often as rsb. lol.
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RSB
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/07 14:54:13
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ORIGINAL: deerfly The allocations are basically irrelevant in the discussion since it is only harvested deer that enter into the equation of having more or fewer over winter deer. So. I am just going to show the annual harvests per square mile over the two time periods. Each group has seven years of data for a both valid and logical comparison. Allocations were irrelevant a few minutes ago , but now you want to try to use them,because I showed everyone you don't know what you are talking about. It won't work no matter how you try and spin it so don't waste your time. Antlerless allocations are irrelevant when all you are doing is showing antlerless harvest trends as we were previously debating. However, antlerless allocations do become totally relevant if you want to see if they are influencing the reason the antlerless harvests are increasing or decreasing or look for a change in hunter success rates. For those reasons and to show everyone what REALLY caused the harvest declines I am going to post the antlerless allocations, the antlerless harvest and also the buck harvest for the same years. I will also post the number of antlerless license it took to get one antlerless deer harvested each of those years. After I post that data I will point out a few of the trends I see and what they most likely mean. All data is for the heart of unit 2G (Elk, Cameron and Clinton Counties) and expressed in license or harvests per square mile of landmass. Antler restrictions started in 2002 as noted by the * after the buck harvest that year. From 2003 on the data is from the WMU 2G license and harvest data per square mile of landmass. Year…….Allocation…………ant’less harvest………..buck harvest…….license/harvest 85………..10.23………………….3.27………………….2.98……………..3.12 86………..13.16………………….3.18………………….4.11……………..4.14 87………..15.42………………….3.85………………….4.20……………..4.00 88………..17.43………………….5.88………………….4.18……………..2.97 89………..18.00………………….5.62………………….3.72……………..3.20 90………..17.38………………….5.00………………….3.02……………..3.47 91………..13.63………………….3.52………………….2.65……………..3.88 92…………6.99………………….1.96………………….2.95……………..3.57 93…………7.16………………….2.31………………….2.84……………..3.10 94…………9.02………………….3.16………………….2.99……………..2.85 95…………9.02………………….3.66………………….3.01……………..2.47 96………..10.20………………….2.38………………….2.28……………..4.29 97…………6.00………………….2.34………………….2.81……………..2.56 98…………7.65………………….2.03………………….2.63……………..3.76 99…………7.65………………….1.86………………….3.13……………..4.11 00…………7.20………………….2.65………………….2.96……………..2.72 01…………8.22………………….2.67………………….2.82……………..3.08 02………..12.90………………….4.18………………….2.42 *…………...3.09 03………..12.64………………….4.95………………….2.46……………..2.55 04………..12.64………………….2.58………………….1.60……………..4.91 05…………7.05………………….1.51………………….1.22……………..4.68 06…………4.62………………….1.12………………….1.75……………..4.13 07…………6.32………………….1.60………………….1.24……………..3.94 08…………6.32………………….2.21………………….1.63……………..2.86 09…………6.32………………….1.02………………….1.26……………..6.19 10…………3.70………………….N/A…………………..N/A…………….N/A Now I am going to point out the trends I see from this data while interjecting some of the other points I am familiar with concerning antlerless allocations and their declining trends. First of all it can be noted that 1986 –1991 were the years with the highest antlerless deer allocations in recent history for the area. It can also be noted that the buck harvests were at their highest during those years. That is an indication that the populations were at their peek during that time period with those indications of increasing deer populations being the reason for the increased antlerless allocations. That is how deer management is intended to work, when you see increasing population trend you take steps to allow more hunting opportunities to bring that population back into balance with the habitat. It also appears that the attempt to reduce the deer herd was working since the buck harvests had started to decline slightly from the peek years. By 1991, with allowing hunters to buy unsold antlerless license (called bonus license at that time) and some hunters harvesting two antlerless deer, the public and political outcry of “stop killing all the deer†was once again becoming the rally cry across the northern tier. It worked and the allocations were drastically reduced as is noted in the years beginning and following 1992. Even though reducing the antlerless harvests and saving more deer should increase your buck harvests if indeed your deer population makes any significant increase you might notice that there was no significant increase in the buck harvests when the antlerless allocations and doe harvests declined. Instead of increasing the buck harvests remained relatively flat. It can also be noted that the hunter success rates (the number of license to harvest one antlerless deer) had some significant fluctuations from easy to harvest to hard to harvest years. Often those high and low fluctuations were from one year to the next so that might very well be the influence poor hunting conditions could have on a short three day doe season creating a poor success rate that year that is made up for the next year with it being easier to find and harvest a doe once again. Another factor that can influence hunter success rates based on license sales can be dependant on how many hunters buy an antlerless license with no intentions of using it because they believe they are saving the deer herd by doing so. You can also see how the deer harvest data simply crashed in the fall of 2004 following the second of the two back to back harsh winters. But, in my opinion the most significant thing a person can see from this data is that reducing antlerless licenses and harvesting fewer antlerless deer, even repeatedly over nearly two decades, has not resulted in having an increase in the buck harvest or any long term increase in deer numbers. In fact all of the evidence indicates that exactly the opposite of that has occurred with naturally declining deer populations even while hunters are continuously harvesting fewer and fewer does. From what I can see what really happened with fewer doe license is that hunters had fewer opportunities to hunt, businesses had fewer hunters coming to hunt because they couldn’t get an antlerless license, more hunters shifted to hunting down state where they could get a license, fewer deer were harvested, more habitat damage occurred from carrying more deer through the winter, fawn recruitment rates declined from carrying too many deer through the winter, fall deer populations remained stagnant instead of increasing and then finally in the deer population crash following the back to back harsh winters of 2002 – 2004. R.S. Bodenhorn
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psu_fish
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/07 15:09:41
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kudos to all, i enjoy reading the back and forth
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/07 16:06:07
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You can also see how the deer harvest data simply crashed in the fall of 2004 following the second of the two back to back harsh winters. Â And that is exactly what any rational personal person would expect after 3 years of high allocations and the highest antlerless harvests in 11 years. If you want to prove your point, tell us how much recruitment was reduced due to fewer embryos/ doe and compare that to the number of fawns that weren't produced because adult doe were harvested..
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bluntman
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/07 19:29:48
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S-10
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/07 19:30:08
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RSB--If you were to post the history FOR YOUR WMU of the index of winter mortality as measured by the dead deer per mile of stream surveyed in the areas close to you it would add some credibility to your claims. You must have that data as you seem to have everything else pertaining to your area. It's a scientifuc method used for decades by the PGC to compare relative severity of winters and gage their impact on the reproduction rates of the surviving doe. Otherwise all we have is your interpetation of what your data means and since the years in question follow a unprecendented attempt to reduce the deer population your claims are very questionable.
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deerfly
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RE: PFSC Testimony
2011/02/07 19:33:58
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ORIGINAL: bluntman see what I mean No, I have no idea what you mean since you have contributed nothing of value to this discussion.
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